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New poll shows 55% in favour of Scottish independence

Nicola Sturgeon © ScottishPolitico (CC BY-SA 4.0) | Holyrood © Jorge Franganillo (CC BY-SA 2.0)

Support for Scottish independence stands at 55%, according to a new poll conducted by Ipsos Mori.

The figure is five percentage points higher than the previous poll carried out by the company in early May, and is back to levels seen in November of last year.

Among those likely to vote either Yes or No in an independence referendum, 55% say they would vote Yes while 45% would vote No.

All age groups except the oldest – those aged 55+ - are more likely to say they would vote Yes than that they would vote No.

Emily Gray, Managing Director of Ipsos MORI Scotland, commented: "This latest poll from Ipsos MORI and STV News indicates that the argument for Scottish independence is far from over, with a slight improvement for the Yes side."

"Given the margins of error around polling estimates, however, neither the Yes or No camps should be confident of victory at this point. The Yes camp may be benefiting from what has been a very bad week for Boris Johnson and the Conservatives at Westminster, with fieldwork taking place after heated debate about MPs’ second jobs. This is certainly reflected in Johnson’s own ratings, which have fallen to a new low".

Ipsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,107 adults aged 16+ across Scotland. Interviews were conducted by telephone 22 – 29 November 2021.

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